Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

TR

TPG RE Finance Trust, Inc. (TRTX)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Distributable Earnings were $19.4 million ($0.24 per diluted share), fully covering the $0.24 common dividend; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.12 and book value per share was $11.19 .
  • Liquidity increased to $457.6 million, and non-mark-to-market financing rose to 91% of borrowings following the $1.1B CRE CLO issuance; weighted average cost of funds declined to SOFR+1.94% .
  • Versus estimates: EPS came in slightly below S&P Global consensus ($0.24 vs $0.246*), while revenue beat ($33.6M vs $25.3M*) driven by higher REO revenue and stable net interest income; 5 EPS and 3 revenue estimates contributed to consensus (bolded below) [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
  • Management highlighted a dislocated, opportunity-rich lending environment (tariffs, widening credit spreads) and cited a strong pipeline with $441M closed/committed post quarter and two California office REO assets approaching sale as catalysts .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “TRTX produced solid operating results that again covered our $0.24 dividend,” with Distributable Earnings of $0.24 per diluted share and a stable loan portfolio risk rating of 3.0 .
  • Balance sheet and liability improvements: closed a $1.1B CRE CLO (30-month reinvestment, SOFR+1.83% at issuance) and redeemed 2019-FL3, lifting liquidity to $457.6M and increasing non-MTM financing to 91% .
  • Cost of funds decreased to SOFR+1.94% (from ~SOFR+2.00%), and liquidity rose by $137M QoQ; CEO and CFO called out strong capital markets execution and disciplined capital allocation (repurchased ~$9M of stock YTD) .

What Went Wrong

  • YoY compression: diluted EPS fell to $0.12 from $0.17 YoY; net income attributable to common stockholders decreased to $9.96M from $13.06M YoY as interest income declined .
  • CECL reserve increased QoQ to $67.2M (199 bps of commitments) from $64.0M (187 bps), reflecting higher rates, potential tariff impacts, and recession probability assumptions .
  • Originations timing: no new Q1 originations (team stayed disciplined as loan spreads tightened in Jan/Feb); closings shifted into March/April with $131M originated after quarter-end .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Interest Income ($USD)$82.184M $68.992M $68.045M
Interest Expense ($USD)$55.381M $44.312M $43.143M
Net Interest Income ($USD)$26.803M $24.680M $24.902M
Total Other Revenue ($USD)$12.124M $10.061M $12.130M
REO Revenue ($USD)$7.222M $7.536M $10.279M
GAAP Net Income ($USD)$16.744M $10.682M $13.719M
Net Inc. Attrib. to Common ($USD)$13.055M $6.909M $9.960M
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.17 $0.09 $0.12
Distributable Earnings/Share (Diluted)$0.30 $0.10 $0.24
Book Value/Share ($)$11.81 $11.27 $11.19

Estimate Comparison (S&P Global; consensus values marked with *):

MetricConsensus (Q1 2025)Actual (Q1 2025)
Primary EPS (Diluted)$0.246*$0.24
Revenue ($USD)$25.333M*$33.608M

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment (Loan Portfolio) Composition at 3/31/2025:

Property TypeMix (%)
Multifamily52.3%
Office17.3%
Life Science10.9%
Hotel10.3%
Industrial4.9%
Mixed-Use2.3%
Self Storage2.0%

Key KPIs across quarters:

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Liquidity ($USD)$357.0M $320.8M $457.6M
Non-MTM Financing (%)79.7% 77.0% 91.0%
Debt-to-Equity (x)2.02x 2.14x 2.23x
Wtd Avg Cost of Funds2.00% 2.00% 1.94%
Wtd Avg All-in Yield8.81% 8.26% 8.22%
CECL Reserve ($USD)$69.3M $64.0M $67.2M
CECL Reserve (bps of commitments)205 bps 187 bps 199 bps
Book Value/Share ($)$11.41 $11.27 $11.19
Wtd Avg LTV67.2% 66.1% 66.1%
Portfolio Risk Rating3.0 3.0 3.0

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Common Dividend/ShareQ1 2025$0.24 (Q4 2024) $0.24 (declared Mar 14, payable Apr 25) Maintained
REO Dispositions Pace2025Reduce ~half by year-end (prior cadence referenced) Two CA office REOs: one under contract, second near contract Maintained cadence (subject to market)

Note: The company did not issue formal quantitative guidance for revenue, margins, OpEx, OI&E, or tax rate in Q1 2025 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024 and Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Tariffs/MacroFocus on disciplined originations and stable risk ratings; CECL down QoQ in Q4 CEO: new tariff regime widened spreads; RE credit safer vs corporates; staying on offense with caution Macro uncertainty rising; spreads wider; cautious offense
Financing/CRE CLO77–80% non-MTM financing; asset-specific financings up; liquidity ~$321–357M Issued $1.1B FL6 (SOFR+1.83% at issuance), redeemed FL3; non-MTM now 91%; liquidity $457.6M Material improvement in term, non-MTM financing and liquidity
Cost of Funds~SOFR+2.00% cost of funds in Q3/Q4 Lowered to SOFR+1.94%; locked before bond spreads widened Incremental reduction; execution timing favorable
Originations/PipelineQ4 originations $242M; Q3 originations $204M; portfolio performing Q1: no originations (discipline); after quarter: $131M originated; ~$310M signed loan apps; ~$441M closed/committed Timing shift; stronger pipeline into Q2
Credit Quality/CECLCECL bps 205 (Q3), 187 (Q4); risk rating 3.0; no specifically identified loans CECL bps 199; risk rating 3.0; 100% performing loans Slight CECL uptick; credit stable
REO MonetizationAdded multifamily REO in Q4; plan to optimize returns Two CA office REOs near sale; history of selling above carrying value per CFO Execution progressing; potential gains (not yet disclosed)

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “TRTX produced solid operating results that again covered our $0.24 dividend… issued a $1.1 billion CRE CLO and repurchased approximately $9 million of common shares… positioned us for increased capital deployment and Distributable Earnings in a dynamic market.”
  • CFO: “We… increased our proportion of non-mark-to-market… liabilities to 91%… liquidity was $457.6 million… cost of funds lowered… general reserve increased to $67.2 million or 199 bps… We are on track to monetize our REO” .
  • CEO (macro): real estate credit viewed as a relative safe haven vs corporate credit amid tariff-related uncertainty; focusing on multifamily given resilient NOI profiles .

Q&A Highlights

  • Risk profile vs 2021–2022: Management emphasized disciplined proceeds (LTVs not creeping above ~70%) and borrower conservatism given higher costs of funds; more realistic market conditions today .
  • Expected ROE on new bridge loans: Despite recent 25–75 bps spread widening, gross ROEs remain in the low-to-mid teens; CRE CLO execution locked financing at tighter spreads before broader widening, benefiting future deployment .
  • Q1 originations timing: January/February loan spreads tightened, so TRTX waited; closing cycles longer due to heavy refinancing; March/April more attractive, leading to $441M closed/committed and $131M funded post quarter .
  • REO sale pricing vs carrying value: CFO did not disclose pending deal prices but noted historical disposition prices generally above carrying value; two CA office properties are near closing .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: Slight miss vs S&P Global consensus ($0.24 actual vs $0.246*), likely due to higher credit loss expense (CECL bps rose to 199) and mix in REO operations net [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
  • Revenue: Strong beat ($33.6M actual vs $25.3M*), supported by stable net interest income and higher REO revenue QoQ [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
  • With liquidity and financing terms improved (FL6), estimate revisions may bias higher for revenue/DE in coming quarters as pipeline converts, while GAAP EPS sensitivity will depend on CECL dynamics and REO resolution timing .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Balance sheet and liability structure improved meaningfully (91% non-MTM; lower cost of funds), creating a supportive backdrop for distributable earnings growth as the pipeline funds over Q2/Q3 .
  • Revenue beat and dividend coverage underscore earnings resilience; watch CECL direction and REO monetization for GAAP EPS variability .
  • Catalysts: REO sales (two CA offices near contract), continued originations ($310M signed), and incremental deployment of ~$457.6M liquidity into wider-spread opportunities should support NII/DE expansion .
  • Shareholder returns: Active buybacks (~$9M YTD; $16.1M remaining capacity) and maintained $0.24 dividend offer income and buyback-supported book value accretion .
  • Macro/trade: Management’s tariff commentary suggests wider credit spreads and dislocation; TRTX’s term financing and disciplined underwriting provide relative advantage in special-situation lending .
  • Risk watchlist: Office exposure (17.3% of loan portfolio) remains manageable and trending down over time; focus remains on multifamily (52.3%) and industrial themes .
  • Near-term trading: Expect sentiment to track pipeline conversion updates, REO sale disclosures, and any movement in CECL; positive updates on deployments at favorable spreads could be stock catalysts .